Thursday, October 12, 2006

Reports of declining US church membership were mistaken

Americans May Be More Religious Than They Realize
Many Without Denomination Have Congregation, Study Finds

By Michelle Boorstein
Washington Post Staff Writer
Tuesday, September 12, 2006; A12

A survey released yesterday posits the idea that the United States --
already one of the most religious nations in the developed world --
may be even less secular than previously suspected.

The Baylor University survey looked carefully at people who checked
"none" when asked their religion in polls. Sociologists have watched
this group closely since 1990, when their numbers doubled, from 7
percent of the population to 14 percent. Some sociologists said the
jump reflects increasing secularization at the same time that American
society is becoming more religious.

But the Baylor survey, considered one of the most detailed ever
conducted about religion in the United States, found that one in 10
people who picked "no religion" out of 40 choices did something
interesting when asked later where they worship: They named a place.

Considering that, Baylor researchers say, the percentage of people who
are truly unaffiliated is more like 10.8 percent. The difference
between 10.8 percent and 14 percent is about 10 million Americans.

"People might not have a denomination, but they have a congregation.
They have a sense of religious connection that is formative to who
they are," said Kevin D. Dougherty, a sociologist at Baylor's
Institute for Studies of Religion and one of the survey's authors.
Baylor is a leading Baptist university, located in Waco, Tex.

The finding reflects the new challenges involved in trying to
categorize religiosity in the United States, where people increasingly
blend religions, shop for churches and worship in independent
communities. Classic labels such as mainline, evangelical and
unaffiliated no longer have the same meaning.

For example, 33 percent of Americans worship at evangelical
congregations, which sociologists say are places that espouse an
inerrant Bible, the importance of evangelizing and the requirement of
having a personal relationship with Jesus. But only 15 percent of
respondents to the Baylor survey said the term "evangelical" describes
their religious identity.

Scholars have been saying for some time that the relevance of
denomination is decreasing. But the Baylor survey, which asks about
such subjects as God's "personality" and what people pray about, adds
to a debate about what that means. It reveals the complex ways
Americans describe their religiosity, and the minefield for today's
scholars in trying to measure it. Is someone religious if they attend
church? If they believe in God? If they identify with a particular
religious group? What if they do one but not the others? Which gets
more weight?

Academics who study religious demographics disagree about the "nones,"
and the Baylor study won't end that debate. Some say they are mostly
secular -- those who aren't atheist but don't consider religion
important. Some say they are in interfaith families and have mixed

Some say they are new immigrants, including many from China, and
second-generation Hispanics.

One thing the experts agree on: "Nones" tend to vote liberal but tend
not to identify with a political party.

"What is most associated with 'no religion' from a political point of
view is independence," said Barry Kosmin, principal investigator of a
telephone survey that queried tens of thousands of respondents. His
American Religious Identification Survey found that the number of "no
religion" Americans jumped from 14.3 million in 1990 to 29.4 million
in 2001. "If you don't belong religiously, you don't belong
politically," he said.

Among the most innovative aspects of the Baylor survey, say scholars
who know about it, are questions about how Americans describe God's
personality. Respondents were offered 26 attributes ranging from
"absolute" to "wrathful," and were asked whether God is directly
involved in and angered by their lives and what happens in the world.

The researchers separated God's attributes into four categories:
wrathful, involved, benevolent and uninvolved. They found that the
largest category of people -- 31 percent -- was made up of those who
said they believe God is both wrathful and highly involved in human

Beliefs about God's personality are powerful predictors, according to
the survey. Those who considered God engaged and punishing were likely
to have lower incomes and less education, to come from the South and
to be white evangelicals or black Protestants. Those who believed God
to be distant and nonjudgmental were more likely to support increased
business regulation, environmental protection and the even
distribution of wealth.

The changing demographics of the United States demand different polls
as well, religion pollsters say. For example, approximately 3 percent
of Americans observe faiths other than Christianity and Judaism. While
still small, this group is growing rapidly, and scholars say that if
current trends continue, that number could reach 10 percent in coming

According to Democratic pollster Anna Greenberg, who focuses on
religion, that is already the figure for Americans younger than 25.

Questions about the frequency of attending religious services aren't
as relevant to Hindus and Buddhists, who often have worship spaces in
their homes. Questions about weekly prayer services aren't as relevant
to Muslims, who pray five times a day, she said.

John Green, senior fellow at the Pew Forum on Religion & Public Life
focusing on religion and politics, said: "The broader point is that
this country that's always been religiously diverse is becoming
religiously diverse in a new way."

(c) 2006 The Washington Post Company

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